Thursday, October 30, 2008

KaraK Presidential Prediction Map (corrected)

<p><strong>><a href='http://projects.washingtonpost.com/2008/pick-your-president/'>2008 Election Contest: Pick Your President</a></strong> - Predict the winner of the 2008 presidential election.</p>

Obama: 53% McCain: 47%

5 comments:

  1. I can't help but think you have the popular vote the wrong way around. Obama has had the popular vote on lock down for quite a while now.

    http://www.huffingtonpost.com/mark-nickolas/popular-vote-v-electoral_b_117525.html

    Predictions:
    CBS News: Obama 45-39 (Obama 53.6-46.4, +7.2)
    AP/IPSOS: Obama 47-41 (Obama 53.4-46.6, +6.8)
    Time: Obama 46-41 (Obama 52.9-47.1, +5.8)

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  2. Yeah i don't see how Obama could get almost 350 electoral votes and only get 47% of the vote if McCain gets 53% then again stranger things have happened (Sarah Palin's VP Nomination for example)

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  3. Yeah, those figures call back memories of reading about those elections in the 19th century, when a candidate would win 100 more electoral votes than his nearest rival, despite earning the support of only 7 million more people. (Poor analogy, I know)

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  4. I just swapped them. In all of my posting and reposting, I think I'm becoming dyslexic or something...too much time in front of a screen. Anyway, my prediction is OBAMA WINS!!

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  5. I don't see how Minnesota is going to go to McCain. That state has been reliably blue in past elections and all the poll numbers give Obama a huge lead. Look at the polling averages http://www.pollster.com/polls/mn/08-mn-pres-ge-mvo.php. I still doubt that Florida can go blue but Obama does have a lead in the polls there.

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